0x31cf97…afd7

Prediction & outcome

Side

YES

Forecast P(YES)

0.270

Market price at commit

0.265

Closing price

—

Outcome

Not yet resolved

Committed

2026-06-28

Scheduled start

2026-06-28

Scoring

yes

Metrics vs the market

Brier — Plumb

—

Brier — market

—

Log-loss — Plumb

—

Log-loss — market

—

CLV

—

Resolution source: pending

Cryptographic audit

nonce

0x8cc741a50798e9804de7c721444ba7ee0ff83d8373f17e5cc705016722ab4b0a

leafHash

0xd70ee1ce751105d4db51f53b9073692593824dd214bd83eb520593bfd5c4035e

merkleRoot

0x25274be232ace8c66cc283970b754f3a1f9440eaf72f0d0052fb9eae7a574d39

leafCount

22

merkleProof

• 0xef88c4c39eac3601a3d617350499d9f49f1daf89cf83afa33250118a762ce6cd
• 0x95a96ef78d335bb074cf9d409fcddd48356e13c2718866c68ec64b46df5645ee
• 0x30958f56f6a539dcd58766325144ef8a75a14eeaf3e1382bef366c2d33b157d8

Anchor tx

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