0x355ecd…82b7

Prediction & outcome

Side

YES

Forecast P(YES)

0.175

Market price at commit

0.165

Closing price

—

Outcome

Not yet resolved

Committed

2026-06-28

Scheduled start

2026-06-28

Scoring

yes

Metrics vs the market

Brier — Plumb

—

Brier — market

—

Log-loss — Plumb

—

Log-loss — market

—

CLV

—

Resolution source: pending

Cryptographic audit

nonce

0xa7706c302be3ff24dbd00908fa0dc3e5c659cab8802df963269b681f8b001772

leafHash

0x54ba5e70cb9689a8af8abaa48bf151d64542993b7917aa843a084515f8b492f7

merkleRoot

0x25274be232ace8c66cc283970b754f3a1f9440eaf72f0d0052fb9eae7a574d39

leafCount

22

merkleProof

• 0x5575a11ecc20564b646eede25fed3316d831773c0e2231519a2c73e10edb4a8c
• 0x76bcb92227a88fe4bbe450eafcf24a44c50d89061a81ab2d9a7395ee6ae25418
• 0xcbb4d65babec04a723001c1dc364517bbda7ef6e9a0278ca816993bbe99cd415
• 0xea59d10cc1a8eddab80f54c03f59074bae728016f6bfc1f390e9797debee669f
• 0xd8617c77a095f163987ea79669d748dee1bc94926e4f766ec8b0c4c2e4ec41dc

Anchor tx

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