0x688954…32ed

Prediction & outcome

Side

NO

Forecast P(YES)

0.555

Market price at commit

0.575

Closing price

—

Outcome

Not yet resolved

Committed

2026-06-28

Scheduled start

2026-06-28

Scoring

yes

Metrics vs the market

Brier — Plumb

—

Brier — market

—

Log-loss — Plumb

—

Log-loss — market

—

CLV

—

Resolution source: pending

Cryptographic audit

nonce

0xd06d1c7c5c4a09eae1f94393f7ac80fbc26e3f4e6511f9ba1bb9ef1666c47858

leafHash

0x49ab9a365abf1f32168e7352c342269a2ec0455d249e6f57d41bd487358eb2f4

merkleRoot

0x25274be232ace8c66cc283970b754f3a1f9440eaf72f0d0052fb9eae7a574d39

leafCount

22

merkleProof

• 0x49a1bfe51dc55dbc3c28dcb4f38c268f69e66af261e8f160f1f7dfbd6ee03ca9
• 0x47acced63358d02cdd77698bbdb26ab6e8b274ce1176e67e6bf310f43182c4ff
• 0x1a43550992afe1543a9773057da0bbedaf37fa80e95a7697d5b7a65c0b19a8f5
• 0x2ca07063efdc736b0e80f809f7c708923873da1229a805366ca8522c98c85524
• 0xd8617c77a095f163987ea79669d748dee1bc94926e4f766ec8b0c4c2e4ec41dc

Anchor tx

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