0x84466f…940b

Prediction & outcome

Side

NO

Forecast P(YES)

0.250

Market price at commit

0.265

Closing price

—

Outcome

Not yet resolved

Committed

2026-06-28

Scheduled start

2026-06-28

Scoring

yes

Metrics vs the market

Brier — Plumb

—

Brier — market

—

Log-loss — Plumb

—

Log-loss — market

—

CLV

—

Resolution source: pending

Cryptographic audit

nonce

0xc2f575d72b71fc9dfed14f71361d864659a275a3adb88bacd2a3529bcea08238

leafHash

0xa0be463f576a293e069faf0249a46f3f93854dde4e1b044232560a616513a38c

merkleRoot

0x25274be232ace8c66cc283970b754f3a1f9440eaf72f0d0052fb9eae7a574d39

leafCount

22

merkleProof

• 0xb3f4c8feda1eca6f662068ce48cf848ffbfd1ce5c431a0bd57251421724264fe
• 0x5d38a0b2247ee260b55766ba03518a87c3d4ff4f5a935e6bae93a205f9de0579
• 0xd84c4ccbdb03013c75423c205e7b8d45a88d7b99a5208db40fc8685330fea72b
• 0x30958f56f6a539dcd58766325144ef8a75a14eeaf3e1382bef366c2d33b157d8

Anchor tx

View on Polygonscan (Amoy) ↗

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